Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.319944 0.344549 0.370860 0.401214 0.435420 0.472955 0.517510
2025-01-26 0.273032 0.309251 0.351093 0.403646 0.468827 0.548320 0.654734
2025-02-02 0.249720 0.294401 0.349365 0.423605 0.524020 0.659608 0.865311
2025-02-09 0.226206 0.274543 0.336835 0.425820 0.554910 0.745080 1.068857
2025-02-16 0.204274 0.253207 0.318461 0.415730 0.564845 0.800912 1.245912
2025-02-23 0.190248 0.240358 0.309307 0.416270 0.589260 0.883813 1.503494
2025-03-02 0.176684 0.226544 0.296857 0.409479 0.599842 0.944889 1.747413
2025-03-09 0.164691 0.213747 0.284346 0.400521 0.604525 0.995572 1.995876
2025-03-16 0.154737 0.202999 0.273728 0.393000 0.609975 1.048738 2.284552
2025-03-23 0.149910 0.199293 0.273317 0.402065 0.647240 1.179946 2.903332
2025-03-30 0.142532 0.191196 0.265272 0.396907 0.655843 1.248974 3.390260
2025-04-06 0.132758 0.178862 0.249571 0.376554 0.630417 1.227825 3.515282
2025-04-13 0.123826 0.167685 0.235547 0.358954 0.610502 1.222271 3.746370
2025-04-20 0.120035 0.164336 0.234195 0.364733 0.642482 1.370618 4.980652
2025-04-27 0.118772 0.164856 0.239296 0.383365 0.707916 1.653123 7.955407
2025-05-04 0.114830 0.160820 0.236293 0.385839 0.736237 1.837708 11.293976
2025-05-11 0.109496 0.154205 0.228304 0.377323 0.735420 1.919899 14.241543
2025-05-18 0.105983 0.150369 0.224912 0.377867 0.758444 2.112221 21.461358
2025-05-25 0.101823 0.145229 0.218817 0.372012 0.763036 2.233055 30.249659
2025-06-01 0.097710 0.139965 0.212155 0.364251 0.760863 2.324828 42.296725
2025-06-08 0.094060 0.135308 0.206319 0.357720 0.761115 2.432476 64.011372
2025-06-15 0.092555 0.134205 0.206948 0.365596 0.806325 2.824731 224.671187
2025-06-22 0.089587 0.130449 0.202361 0.361117 0.812329 3.000639 750.387616